Saturday, January 9, 2010

Kerrzy’s Notebook: NFL Playoff Picks

Another regular season has come and gone in the NFL, which can only mean one thing – it’s playoff time!

Week one of the playoffs features not one, not two, but three rematches of week 17 games, which should make for some very interesting viewing.

Incase you’re wondering, I was on holiday and didn’t make any picks for the final week of the season, so I finished with a 135-64 record overall, which I’m pretty happy with (though I know a lot of luck was involved!).

Here are my picks for this weekend’s games:

NY Jets (9-7) @ Cincinnati (10-6)

My pick: New York

-I’m really not sure about this one, but I’m basing this pick on the fact that the Jets defense is very strong and no receiver has more than 35 yards against corner Darrelle Revis this season, a pretty amazing statistic. Both of these teams have been up and down this season (the Jets more than Cincinnati), but New York has won five of six, while the Bengals come into this week having lost three of four (including a 37-0 loss to the Jets in week 17).

Philadelphia (11-5) @ Dallas (11-5)

My pick: Dallas

-The Cowboys are 2-0 against the Eagles this season, including a 24-0 win last week in a game that had a divisional title on the line (so there was actually something to play for). Eagles QB Donovan McNabb said after the loss “we showed our youth,” but clarified his comments a couple of days later by saying he meant that the team didn’t play at a high enough level. The Cowboys will be riding high after that dominating win and the fact that they’re at home is another reason I’m picking them.

Baltimore (9-7) @ New England (10-6)

My pick: New England

-The Patriots struggled on the road this year, but were one of just two teams in the entire league to go 8-0 on home turf. They’ll be playng without Tom Brady’s main target man in Wes Welker though, which will hurt their offense in a big way. At the end of the day, the Patriots are a playoff proven team and their road struggles don’t matter this week because they’re playing at home, where they’ve been perfect all season.

Green Bay (11-5) @ Arizona (10-6)

My pick: Green Bay

-The Packers have won seven of their last eight games, and that one loss was by a margin of just a single point, meanwhile the Cardinals have been up and down for the past month (following up a win over the mighty Vikings with a loss to the 49ers, for example). The Cardinals probably wish they were playing on the road this weekend, as that’s where they played their best football this season. The Packers are peaking at just the right time though and I think they’ll come out on top this weekend.

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